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Conflict in times of COVID-19

Abstract : This chapter discusses the potential impacts of the spread of COVID-19, and the restriction policies that it has triggered in many countries, on conflict incidence worldwide. Based on anecdotal evidence and recent research, we argue that imposing nation-wide shutdown policies diminishes conflict incidence on average, but that this conflict reduction may be short-lived and highly heterogeneous across countries. In particular, conflict does not appear to decline in poor, fractionalised countries. Evidence points to two potential ways in which COVID-related restriction policies may increase conflict: losses in income and magnified ethnic and religious tensions leading to scapegoating of minorities.
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Contributor : Elisabeth Lhuillier Connect in order to contact the contributor
Submitted on : Monday, June 22, 2020 - 3:16:18 PM
Last modification on : Wednesday, November 3, 2021 - 9:47:01 AM


  • HAL Id : hal-02877564, version 1


Nicolas Berman, Mathieu Couttenier, Nathalie Monnet, Rohit Ticku. Conflict in times of COVID-19. Simeon Djankov; Ugo Panizza. COVID-19 in Developing Economie, CEPR Press, pp.147-156, 2020, 978-1-912179-35-0. ⟨hal-02877564⟩



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